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美国货币政策我们更加关心美元汇率，而中国货币政策我们更加关心利率。因为现在的利率已经低无可低了，只剩下了加息一途，所以我们关心的就是政府何种情况下会加息。无论美国还是中国，货币政策都是政府整个救市计划中的一个组成部分。要理解政府对货币政策的调整，就要理解政府对整个经济调整的思路。

相对于美国政府，中国政府的救市思路是混乱的，也是不明确的。从08年到现在，中国政府的实际行动表明，之前的政策思路概括起来就是一个字“拖”。

我们不相信世界经济格局已经发生了根本的变化，我们不相信08年之前经济高速发展的美好光景已经一去不再回。所以，我们对这次金融危机的看法是简单的，认为这不过是一场小小的危机，中国的经济发展不会受到影响。美国受到的影响虽然重，但是很快就能恢复过来。世界经济格局又能重新回到原来的正常轨道，中国投资、出口，美国消费，经济照常高速发展。所以，我们政策的思路就是保持目前的经济结构，使经济不陷入衰退，等待外部需求的恢复。

无论是政府官员或专家学者对金融危机的言论还是中国政府的实际政策都支持这一点。虽然在去年提出了“调结构、扩内需、保增长“，但是在实际的行动中还是落实到了保增长上面。

中国是公有制社会，政府掌握了所有的资源，所以政府可以按照自己的意愿来调配资源价格和主导社会分配（私人财富在政府面前是毫无保障的，只要看看山西政府是如何并购小煤矿的，我们就知道《物权法》中的物权对于我们也仅仅只是个概念而已）。这决定了中国的经济结构。

因为政府主导了社会分配，所以，财富向政府及其相关机构集中，而劳动者只能获得很低的收入。在A股市场的上市公司哪怕有再多的利润都很少分红，和在国外上市迥异，原因就是在此。政府和相关机构集中了大量的财富，所能做的只有继续投资。而劳动者作为消费者，收入低而无法消费，从而形成产品大量库存，出口就成了唯一的选择，从而使得经济获得了平衡。

在拖的思路下，强化现有的经济结构就是政府政策的制定依据。所以我们就可以理解以下现象了：

l  中国的出口退税在全国财政困难的情况下仍然上调至17%的极限。因为我们在继续强化出口。

l  4万亿的投资计划，既没有用于民生的教育、医疗、养老、住房，也没有用于调整经济结构，完全变成了政府投资计划。因为我们在继续强化投资。

l  政府在房地产政策上超级宽松，开发商资本金比率下调至15%，房产交易营业税、契税可以减免，购房可以办理当地户口，等等一系列政策比2003年房地产调控以前还宽松。因为房地产对于中国经济而言，既是投资优势消费，还是政府财政。中国投资的三大块：工业、基建、房地产开发，那一块的兴衰都要由房地产来决定。

这样，我们就理解了政府的货币政策会变得超级宽松，降低贷款利率甚至于比存款利率还低，不但如此，还大量的发行钞票，M2的增长远远超出了初年20%的限定目标。所有的一切，都是因为投资需要钱。

这一思路在今年的下半年被证明是走不通的。美国人开始减少消费提高储蓄率了，还喊出了世界贸易再均衡的口号，欧洲和其他国家则是不断的进行双反，大叫人民币升值。指望出口已经行不通，拖再拖下去就是死路一条。中国政府的思路需要改变，相应的，货币政策也要改变。

金融危机对中国而言才刚刚拉开序幕。

This solves many problems with the Valmet Shotgun/Rifle 412/512 by having the capability of swapping barrels...Mount your Trap barrel and adj. your cheek up. Mount your sporter barrel and down she goes. wala!! problem fixed..I try to post the rare and unusual here first.So the true Finnland Rifle lovers get first shot! This stock cost $500 labor to make..I am looking for a fair offer..Thx,Dan contact me @ megndan@optonline.net

Fantasy Footie - Phil 3,  PD 2,  Clint 1

Daily Trivia - WD 1

Countdown - Len 5,  Blimey 2

Weekday Timewaster - Puss 3, Len 2, Clint 1

When: November 30,2009 Monday @ 4:00 PM
Where: Outside MacDonalds (assembly only please suggest a formal meeting place)
What: aquintances ug uban pa...

suggest lang mo mga bai...

Nearly forgot these.
Don't forget to make any changes today by 1130 for week 14

1	Hoddles Dream Spurs	Jonathan Owen	66	703
2	Pink Rovers	Gary Shepherd	66	675
3	PresidentBlues	Mike Clinton	51	648
4	The Robin B*stards	Peter Crapp	39	578
5	Len's Loafers	Len Porter	45	529
6	Clements Calamities	Phil Clements	73	521
7	Puss Rovers	Mandy Andrews	39	461
8	Coventry City	Chris Porter	65	454

I found this thread tonight while surfing RCTech http://www.rctech.net/forum/electric-road/251362-vta-tuning-q.html
Some good stuff in there for you TA guys...one thing that jumped out at me was that one of the very first posts mentions that if your tires are caking up, they are probably overheated because the chassis isn't producing enough grip, so the tires themselves are doing too much work.  Judging from some of the other posts, the spec tires are very heat/camber-sensitive and the key to getting them to hook up is a soft soft SOFT setup.  Check it out.

-rocky b

my sankes after 2 years...medyo hinay jud ang grow bay kay inato ra ang bahug...usahay bangus feeds usahay maka koi local or PO3...anyway NOTE the corresponding numbers and observe how the patterns developed... CLICK PHOTO FOR LARGER IMAGE

Click on the link below.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/Afghanistan/article6927604.ece

Hi All

While out deer hunting, I took this beautiful fox with my Sako at 375 yards. Still shoots as the day I bought it. 

my male and female platinum....

Just got my mitts on a pretty much mint boxed training tower from a mate at work whos child hood toy it was! 9box is a little battered but still ok) he had it set aside for me about 2 years ago, but we only just managed to sort it out tonight, he wanted a £10 for it as it was gonna get lobbed untill he realised i was into the little fellas
 
 
this one has all the original bits and nothing is broken, not even a tab out of place! but i think the seat part is missing? there is a pulley part which weirdly has the AT logo on it????????? (its 100% as it came as it was his childhood toy) there is a black pole? that i just worked out fits accross the ganway part at the top!  its all i could do to manage to assemble it right, after a quick wash in some detergent to get the dust off!
 
 
rather pleased with it, the missus isnt as its about 3 feet tall and in the front room at the moment!! oh well
 
if anyones got a seat or an original rope for the slide part then let me know
 
 

hi, im on polt 229, i'm putting all the glass in my green house and we have been given a window louvre to go in but the glass is to long for it so if anyone would like it then drop me a email at zoe.pattinson@hotmail.co.uk and i can drop it of to your plot or you can pick up, i have also a louve with out the glass that im not using if anyone can make use of, thankyou

I have never sold a gun before and was thinking of selling my Sako in 375 H&H.  I don't know how to go about that AND I have no idea on what the value of the gun is.  Does anyone have any recommendations on how to sell and the value of my rifle is? 

Little information on the rifle ... it is a Sako Standard Sporter that I bought new in 1983 in 375 H&H magnum.  MINT condition with a Leupold 2x7 and a Pachmayr Lo-Swing mount.  Took some pictures with my cell phone.  Would appreciate any advice on value and best place to sell it.  Feel free to respond here OR email me at rondog57@cox.net.  THANKS!

Ron

Finally have the all new singing and dancing leaderboard working.

http://www.coltishallagilityclub.co.uk/leaderboard.html

Makes it so easy now to keep score up to date

Go on the grade 2s

http://www.megaupload.com/?d=RGOPARJM
my upload.

Stumbled across these while going through the labourious proces off loading my negatives onto PC.  All were taken at Cromer Carnival in 1999.  Hope they bring back some happy memories...

Sue & Buster

Zeta

Kiki & Basil

Sue & Floss

George the hearthrug!

Da quello scatolone era uscito un F15,ma non mi andava di farlo per come era nato,anche perche' non mi e' mai piaciuto quel suo carrello anteriore;mi hanno sempre attratto i carrelli a ruote doppie come gl'imbarcati.Molti anni fa su una rivista avevano beccato un SU-27che i russi volevano testare per portaerei,e da li' e' partita la mia fantasia:il gancio d'arresto c'e',mancava il carrello con il braccio per la catapulta et voila'.Qualche purista mi potrebbe uccidere,ma come ha detto uno di voi(forse il prinsi)il modellismo non e'un piacere e quindi sfogo alla fantasia?Decals di un TOMCAT dei WOLFPACK ed eccolo arruolato.E'posizionato in una piazzola dove lo stanno preparando per una esercitazione,infatti gironzolano vari personaggi provenienti da diverse scatole di support-group.Quella brutta faccia che appare in una foto sono io; riflesso(involontariamente)sullo specchio della vetrina che lo racchiude,per poter vedere un lato nascosto, visto che e' infilato in una libreria.Ciao a presto

I met this bloke with a didgeridoo and he was playing Dancing Queen on it.
I thought, 'That's Aboriginal.'
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This lorry full of tortoises collided with a van full of terrapins. It was a turtle disaster.
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I told my girlfriend I had a job in a bowling alley. She said 'Tenpin?' I said, 'No, permanent.'
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I went into a pet shop. I said, 'Can I buy a goldfish?' The guy said, 'Do you want an aquarium?'
I said, 'I don't care what star sign it is.'
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I bought some Armageddon cheese today, and it said on the packet. 'Best before End'
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I went to buy a watch, and the man in the shop said 'Analogue.' I said 'No, just a watch.'
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I went into a shop and I said, 'Can someone sell me a kettle.' The bloke said 'Kenwood'
I said, 'Where is he then?'
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My mate is in love with two schoolbags. He's bi-satchel.
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I went to the doctor. I said to him 'I'm frightened of lapels.'
He said, 'You've got cholera.'
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I met the bloke who invented crosswords today. I can't remember his name,
its P something T something R.
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I was reading this book today, The History of Glue. I couldn't put it down.
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I phoned the local ramblers club today, but the bloke who answered just went on and on.
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The recruitment consultant asked me 'What do you think of voluntary work?
I said 'I wouldn't do it if you paid me.'
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I was in the jungle and there was this monkey with a tin opener.
I said, 'You don't need a tin opener to peel a banana.' He said, 'No, this is for the custard.'
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This policeman came up to me with a pencil and a piece of very thin paper.
He said, 'I want you to trace someone for me..'
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I told my mum that I'd opened a theatre. She said, 'Are you having me on?'
I said, 'Well I'll give you an audition, but I'm not promising you anything.'
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I phoned the local builders today, I said to them 'Can I have a skip outside my house?'
He said, 'I'm not stopping you!'
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This cowboy walks in to a German car showroom and he says 'Audi!'
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I fancied a game of darts with my mate. He said, 'Nearest the bull goes first'
He went 'Baah' and I went 'Moo' He said 'You're closest'
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I visited the offices of the RSPCA today. It's tiny: you couldn't swing a cat in there..
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I was stealing things in the supermarket today while balanced on the shoulders
of a couple of vampires. I was charged with shoplifting on two counts.
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I bought a train ticket to France and the ticket seller said 'Eurostar'
I said 'Well I've been on telly but I'm no Dean Martin.
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I phoned the local gym and I asked if they could teach me how to do the splits.
He said, 'How flexible are you?' I said, 'I can't make Tuesdays or Thursdays.'
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I went to the local video shop and I said, 'Can I borrow Batman Forever?'
He said, 'No, you'll have to bring it back tomorrow'
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A waiter asks a man, 'May I take your order, sir?' 'Yes,' the man replies.
'I'm just wondering, exactly how do you prepare your chickens?'
'Nothing special, sir. We just tell them straight out that they're going to die.'

Hello lads,

I know that boots can be hard to come b, but if anyone spots some size 10's can you let me know where and how much?

Cheers,
Steve.

I have added the instructions to make the installer work on the main site.

Installation note : While installing/unpacking the Dos or command window will ask to overwrite some stuff. Press "n", fro no. Then the installation will complete just fine

Thought I would try and consolidate all my shots into one album to make it easier to add to, here are some I took today with some of the outfits I got from Daren and some old faves.  Enjoy!

Thanks Mike for the DSD suit.

And some of my fave shots:

Hello!
 
I think I'll wonder over to introduce myself.  I mainly fish for walleye and cats on the upper alleghany (near Kinzua dam).  I've had some fair success and really appreciate the diversity up here... on the other hand I've also traveled down towards the steel city, every once in a while.

I came here from fisherie.. its a good site, but It can be a little hot. 

So you guys are an actual fishing club?  thats a good reason to form a little discussion board.  Y'all like to fish for similar things?  me, myself, I have been dipping more toes into more and more things.  used to be that I just throw worms, I experimented a little with fly, then got very interested in catfish, and have been recently throwing plugs at dark for walleye.

Its a nice game.  The fish are awesome; and the food is even better.  Big trout and Pike also hit the same lure at times, and make for some exciting fishing.

Anyway, if you guys got questions about kinzua, I can attempt to answer them.  Quite a few anglers from down your way head up here.  With the lake I can really only save you time; that is I know where the launches are and what they catch up there... But I honestly don't fish it (much).  One too many skunked trip... and fish are at times sparse up there.  I think you need a boat, to maximize your chances at getting lucky.
The waters from the dam to a little ways below warren is my big playground.  Again I'm shore bound, but in spots thats not really a big deal. 

had a guy befriend me and share some secrets, not going to blab about them online... but I will prolly fish the river more this coming year, than ever before.  Might post some photos.  I like sharing photos and I like seeing them.  Kind of adds to the appeal of a fishing forum.  I always think of these forums as like a big campfire, where  a small group of anglers chat, get to know each other, tell fishing stories and agree to help each other.  And I've fished for years solo; I'm getting more social in my old age.  Its nice to meet people, provided everyone is being friendly. 

 well, I'll end the post with a recent photo of one of my nicer catches.  a 21" brownie.. not trophie, but a nice alleghany treat- pretty as a painting, and a brute of a fight.
for a while I was sure it was a walleye cuz' he just stayed Down and fought to stay on the buttom of the river.  He also must have had some largemouth bass Genes, for he had the Biggest mouth! 
 

George Gordon, Lord Byron, was the son of Captain John Byron, and Catherine Gordon. He was born with a club-foot and became extreme sensitivity about his lameness. Byron spent his early childhood years in poor surroundings in Aberdeen, where he was educated until he was ten. After he inherited the title and property of his great-uncle in 1798, he went on to Dulwich, Harrow, and Cambridge, where he piled up debts and aroused alarm with bisexual love affairs. Staying at Newstead in 1802, he probably first met his half-sister, Augusta Leigh with whom he was later suspected of having an incestuous relationship.
In 1807 Byron's first collection of poetry, Hours Of Idleness appeared. It received bad reviews. The poet answered his critics with the satire English Bards And Scotch Reviewersin 1808. Next year he took his seat in the House of Lords, and set out on his grand tour, visiting Spain, Malta, Albania, Greece, and the Aegean. Real poetic success came in 1812 when Byron published the first two cantos of Childe Harold's Pilgrimage (1812-1818). He became an adored character of London society; he spoke in the House of Lords effectively on liberal themes, and had a hectic love-affair with Lady Caroline Lamb. Byron's The Corsair (1814), sold 10,000 copies on the first day of publication. He married Anne Isabella Milbanke in 1815, and their daughter Ada was born in the same year. The marriage was unhappy, and they obtained legal separation next year.
When the rumors started to rise of his incest and debts were accumulating, Byron left England in 1816, never to return. He settled in Geneva with Percy Bysshe Shelley, Mary Wollstonecraft Shelley, and Claire Clairmont, who became his mistress. There he wrote the two cantos of Childe Harold and "The Prisoner Of Chillon". At the end of the summer Byron continued his travels, spending two years in Italy. During his years in Italy, Byron wrote Lament Of Tasso, inspired by his visit in Tasso's cell in Rome, Mazeppa and started Don Juan, his satiric masterpiece. While in Ravenna and Pisa, Byron became deeply interested in drama, and wrote among others The Two Foscari, Sardanapalaus, Cain, and the unfinished Heaven And Earth.
After a long creative period, Byron had come to feel that action was more important than poetry. He armed a brig, the Hercules, and sailed to Greece to aid the Greeks, who had risen against their Ottoman overlords. However, before he saw any serious military action, Byron contracted a fever from which he died in Missolonghi on 19 April 1824. Memorial services were held all over the land. Byron's body was returned to England but refused by the deans of both Westminster and St Paul's. Finally Byron's coffin was placed in the family vault at Hucknall Torkard, near Newstead Abbey in Nottinghamshire.

Please post your comments
Reuben